Convert $20k/yr ages 45-72 (on marketplace coverage) (fire early retiree)

Convert $20k/yr ages 45-72 (on marketplace coverage) ends $297,841 behind current plan (no changes), after tax.

What the tax change is made of

These add back to the total change; they are the same taxes the projection sums into the headline, discounted the same way.

Not financial or tax advice.

Lifetime tax (present value)$483,057
Terminal after-tax wealth$6,747,721
Years in IRMAA0

What this assumes

Every figure below depends on these. Change one and the answer changes.

Horizon
52 yearsHow many years the projection runs.
Nominal return
5%Assumed annual growth before inflation.
Inflation
2.5%Grows spending, and indexes brackets between published years.
Discount rate
3%Used to present-value lifetime tax — the headline metric.
Future tax law
Current law continuesLeft on current law, the projection assumes today’s brackets last the whole horizon — itself a forecast, not a neutral choice.
Other assumptions (4)
Dividend yield
1.2%
Interest yield
0.8%
Business cash return
2%
Income growth
0%

Year by year

YearAgeOrdinary incomeConversionRMDFederal taxNet worth
038$250,000$0$0$51,304$1,863,733
139$250,000$0$0$50,587$2,086,212
240$250,000$0$0$49,851$2,317,814
341$250,000$0$0$49,098$2,558,934
442$250,000$0$0$48,325$2,809,983
543$250,000$0$0$47,533$3,071,393
644$250,000$0$0$46,935$3,343,613
745$0$16,000$0$0$3,414,445
846$0$16,000$0$0$3,486,420
947$0$16,000$0$0$3,559,546
1048$0$16,000$0$0$3,633,832
1149$0$16,000$0$0$3,709,285
1250$0$16,000$0$0$3,785,914
1351$0$16,000$0$0$3,863,725
1452$0$16,000$0$0$3,942,724
1553$0$16,000$0$0$4,022,916
1654$0$16,000$0$0$4,104,308
1755$0$16,000$0$0$4,186,903
1856$0$16,000$0$0$4,270,705
1957$0$16,000$0$0$4,355,716
2058$0$16,000$0$0$4,441,939
2159$0$16,000$0$0$4,529,375
2260$0$16,000$0$0$4,618,023
2361$0$16,000$0$0$4,707,883
2462$0$16,000$0$0$4,798,954
2563$0$16,000$0$0$4,891,233
2664$0$16,000$0$0$4,984,716
2765$0$16,000$0$0$5,090,010
2866$0$16,000$0$0$5,197,068
2967$0$16,000$0$0$5,305,896
3068$0$16,000$0$0$5,416,498
3169$0$16,000$0$0$5,528,877
3270$0$16,000$0$0$5,643,033
3371$0$16,000$0$0$5,758,965
3472$0$16,000$0$0$5,876,669
3573$0$0$150,311$12,864$5,980,758
3674$0$0$157,827$13,636$6,084,576
3775$0$0$165,045$14,370$6,188,357
3876$0$0$172,566$20,249$6,288,271
3977$0$0$178,600$22,065$6,386,978

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